Posted on other board and thought I had it here but could not find it so copied and posted here again - hope this one works
TUESDAY: weather should not be a factor like last week in the MAC
4* - 304 - Bowling Green -8.5 -- WINNER
2* - 306 - Buffalo over 53.5 -- WINNER
BG Reasoning: As stated last week, IMHO, BG is best team in MAC and have found themselves and playing very well of late and have the best D in this game. BG has not been involved in a single score game since the beginning of October and WMU tends to play close, one score games but NIU whacked WMU last week by 2 TD's and allowed only 178 yds passing. I'll take the BG defense, with strong secondary, to shut down WMU passing O -- BG is 2nd in MAC passing yards allowed (NIU is first) and over the recent 5 game stretch, they've only given up 1 TD via the pass. Mizzu transfer QB Baselak should have a field day here.
Buffalo over Reasoning: I do not trust either defense in this one and both teams should score a bunch. Stat wise, I have it about even but again, both defenses are not real good despite some games where they played somewhat respectable and tackling is not a forte for them. Both teams like to play up tempo and create more opportunities for scores as they wear down each others defense.
Thoughts on CMU/Toledo -- on the fence here with a slight lean to Toledo here, but line has bounced quite a bit (from open 14 up to 17 yesterday and not back down to 14.5) an that gives me cause to pause. CMU is a DR candidate this week and last week came though as a DDDR against a very good BG team - but still lost by 10. I hate to lay over 2 TD's albeit Toledo has a few days rest on CMU and CMU is traveling but Toledo needed 22 points in the 4Q last week to take down EMU by 1, who out stated Toledo. CMU lost to EMU in a high scoring affair (38-34 -- where they needed 22 4Q points to win). Just too many conflicting factors right now and need to sort it out and see if a play can be found. Probably best to avoid it.
-- well, I couldn't resist & at KO, played the Rockets at -15.5 for 2* and it came through -- had to have some action and did my due diligence -- WINNER -- sorry I did not get it posted
back with more plays later
TUESDAY: weather should not be a factor like last week in the MAC
4* - 304 - Bowling Green -8.5 -- WINNER
2* - 306 - Buffalo over 53.5 -- WINNER
BG Reasoning: As stated last week, IMHO, BG is best team in MAC and have found themselves and playing very well of late and have the best D in this game. BG has not been involved in a single score game since the beginning of October and WMU tends to play close, one score games but NIU whacked WMU last week by 2 TD's and allowed only 178 yds passing. I'll take the BG defense, with strong secondary, to shut down WMU passing O -- BG is 2nd in MAC passing yards allowed (NIU is first) and over the recent 5 game stretch, they've only given up 1 TD via the pass. Mizzu transfer QB Baselak should have a field day here.
Buffalo over Reasoning: I do not trust either defense in this one and both teams should score a bunch. Stat wise, I have it about even but again, both defenses are not real good despite some games where they played somewhat respectable and tackling is not a forte for them. Both teams like to play up tempo and create more opportunities for scores as they wear down each others defense.
Thoughts on CMU/Toledo -- on the fence here with a slight lean to Toledo here, but line has bounced quite a bit (from open 14 up to 17 yesterday and not back down to 14.5) an that gives me cause to pause. CMU is a DR candidate this week and last week came though as a DDDR against a very good BG team - but still lost by 10. I hate to lay over 2 TD's albeit Toledo has a few days rest on CMU and CMU is traveling but Toledo needed 22 points in the 4Q last week to take down EMU by 1, who out stated Toledo. CMU lost to EMU in a high scoring affair (38-34 -- where they needed 22 4Q points to win). Just too many conflicting factors right now and need to sort it out and see if a play can be found. Probably best to avoid it.
back with more plays later
